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Mitchell Robinson

  • (Wikimedia Commons)
  • Born: 4/1/98 
  • Height: 7’1″
  • Wingspan: 7’4″
  • Weight: 225 lbs
  • Draft Eligibility: 2018
  • Nationality: American
  • High School: Chalmette High School (Louisiana)

Strengths

  • Sub-elite physical traits for a five at 7-foot-1, 233 pounds, a 9-foot-3 standing reach and 7-foot-4 wingspan. Has added 18 pounds to his frame over the last year, and has the wide shoulders to continue to fill out.
  • Dynamic rim-runner with excellent mobility to change ends, and the vertical pop to elevate powerfully off one or two feet to finish.
  • Tremendously quick off the floor as a leaper, and is coordinated enough to catch balls with plus hands at high speeds.
  • Outstanding body control as a lob-catcher serving as a gravity threat to draw defenses in with a large catch radius.
  • Very fast diving to the rim as a dive-man in pick-and-roll, getting to the rim quickly with long strides especially on slips.
  • Covers all the defensive big categories as an outlier in terms of shot-blocker and rebounding in EYBL play. Wins mostly with physical tools and leaping ability, and can alter shots around the rim with either hand.
  • Rangy space defender with plus mobility to cover ground and challenge shots.

Weaknesses

  • Flashes skill-level with coherent dribbling in transition and workable mechanics with good arc and rotation despite a low release point, but how much do you actually want him playmaking at all?
  • Has an awkward build with ridiculously long legs and a small torso, meaning he has high hips and struggles to sink down and bend as a result. How well can he move side-to-side quickly and more importantly backwards in pick-and-roll defense?
  • Seems like more of a dynamic and fluid athlete than high IQ basketball player, and it’s difficult to parse between how much of his defensive success at the AAU level was due to defensive awareness or sheer physical tools.
  • Without the college sample to iron out integral questions, there is naturally going to more risk assumption here due to enhanced uncertainty, making Robinson a high variance prospect.

Bottom Line

If Robinson’s defensive awareness on the interior is accurately represented in his AAU stats and film glimpses, he has a very project-able role into the NBA as potential defensive anchor and a rim-runner/lob-catcher on offense with a modicum of skill upside. That’s a very valuable player certainly worthy of a lottery pick. However, without the college sample and with how his college decision-making process played out, Robinson is going to be a high variance selection, albeit one of the better archetype dice-rolls as we get later in the draft.

— Cole Zwicker, 11.1.17

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